Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: INTC

INTC implied volatility is at 58.36%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

INTC is trading at $46.79 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 58.36%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 20, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Feb 13, 2026

Target Date

Feb 20, 2026

Price

$46.79

IV

58.36%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 58.36% × √(7/365) ≈ 8.08%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$3.78.

The market expects INTC to stay within ±8.08% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±8.08%

Exp. Move $

±$3.78

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$43.01 — $50.57

80% Confidence

$41.94 — $51.64

90% Confidence

$40.57 — $53.01

95% Confidence

$39.38 — $54.20

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 58.36% implies a ±8.08% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $43.01 to $50.57.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.