Volatility Analysis

Weekly Volatility Outlook: KO

KO implied volatility is at 21.27%. We break down the 7-day expected move and probability zones.

4 min read

Market Context

KO is trading at $78.68 with an annualized Implied Volatility (IV) of 21.27%.

With 7 days to expiration (Target: Feb 20, 2026), the market is pricing in the following potential range.

Analysis Date

Feb 13, 2026

Target Date

Feb 20, 2026

Price

$78.68

IV

21.27%

Volatility Math (7 Days)

To estimate the expected move, we convert annualized IV to the 7-day timeframe.

Formula: 21.27% × √(7/365) ≈ 2.95%.

In dollar terms, this is approximately ±$2.32.

The market expects KO to stay within ±2.95% about 68% of the time over the next 7 days.

Time Factor

0.1385

Exp. Move %

±2.95%

Exp. Move $

±$2.32

Probability Cone

The following table shows the statistical probability ranges based on current volatility.

68% Confidence

$76.36 — $81.00

80% Confidence

$75.71 — $81.65

90% Confidence

$74.87 — $82.49

95% Confidence

$74.14 — $83.22

Disclaimer

This analysis is a static projection based on current IV. Real-world events may cause price to move outside these bounds. Not investment advice.

Key takeaways

  • Current IV of 21.27% implies a ±2.95% move in 7 days.
  • The 68% confidence interval is $76.36 to $81.00.
  • Ranges are based on static IV; earnings or news can expand these significantly.